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2025-05-19 17:00:03

Eurozone April final CPI +2.2% vs +2.2% y/y prelim.No changes to the initial estimates. The market is pricing 91% chance of another 25 bps cut at the June ECB meeting and a total of 51 bps of easing by year-end.

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2025-05-19 16:25:48

Euro area

The euro edged closer to $1.13, extending its recovery from the one-month low reached on May 12th, supported by broad-based weakness in the US dollar. The decline in the greenback followed Moody’s decision to downgrade the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing mounting concerns over rising government debt and widening fiscal deficits. The downgrade fueled worries about potential economic fallout in the US and weighed on American assets. Meanwhile, the EU and the UK reached a tentative agreement on key areas including defense and security cooperation, fisheries, and youth mobility, ahead of the upcoming EU-UK summit on Monday. According to EU officials, the deal could allow British companies to participate in major EU defense contracts, marking a step forward in post-Brexit relations. On the monetary policy front, the European Central Bank is expected to continue lowering interest rates in June, with the possibility of further easing beyond that point.

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2025-05-19 16:25:33

Japan

Japanese Yen Strengthens as US Dollar Weakens Following Credit Downgrade.The USD/JPY pair declined for a fifth consecutive day, touching 145.25, as the US dollar faced sustained pressure following Moody's decision to downgrade the US credit rating.

2025-05-19 16:18:23

Georgia

Georgia's trade deficit shrank to USD 782.5 million in April 2025 from USD 1,015.1 million in the same month last year, driven by a sharp rise in exports while import dropped. Exports surged by 41.1% to USD 616.8 million, while imports fell by 3.6% to USD 1,399.3 million. In the first four months of the year, the country's trade deficit widened to USD 3,726.9 million from USD 3,201 million in the corresponding period of the previous year, as import growth (15.7%) outpaced the increase in exports (14.2%).

2025-05-19 16:05:47

United Kingdom

The British pound strengthened past $1.336, its highest level in over a week, as investors turned optimistic ahead of key UK economic data and a major political breakthrough with the EU. Markets are closely watching Thursday’s flash PMI figures, which are expected to show a smaller contraction in manufacturing and a milder decline in services. April inflation is forecast to rise to 3.3%, the highest in 14 months, while core CPI may hit 3.6%. Retail sales are projected to increase by 0.4%, continuing a four-month streak of gains despite fragile consumer sentiment. Supporting the pound further, the UK and EU reached a landmark agreement to reset post-Brexit relations. The deal includes cooperation on energy, defense, and reciprocal fishing rights through 2038. Meanwhile, the US dollar weakened after Moody’s unexpectedly downgraded the US government's credit rating, citing concerns over rising debt.

2025-05-19 16:02:24

China

Mainland Chinese stocks ended flat on Monday, with the Shanghai Composite closing at 3,368, while the Shenzhen Component was little changed to 10,171, as investors assessed a batch of mixed economic data. April’s retail sales growth slowed and fell short of expectations, reflecting weak domestic consumption and sluggish income growth. However, industrial output beat forecasts but slowed from March’s pace, while the unemployment rate edged down. Meanwhile, markets turned cautious as China described recent trade talks with the US as “good,” but remained vague on future steps, while Trump hinted at a possible call with President Xi. Investors now await upcoming PBOC decisions on key lending rates, with expectations of a 10 bps cut for both the one-year and five-year loan prime rates. Notable gainers included Avic Chengdu (+3.4%), Naura Technology (+1.5%), and Guangdong Haid (+1.3%), while Kweichow Moutai (-2.2%) and BYD Company (-1.6%) posted steep losses.

2025-05-19 16:00:55

Pound Sterling trades firmly ahead of EU-UK trade summit.The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades higher against its major peers, except the Euro (EUR), at the start of the week. The British currency moves higher ahead of the European Union (EU)-United Kingdom (UK) trade summit in London on Monday.

2025-05-19 15:59:13

Germany

Germany’s 10-year Bund yield hovered around 2.6%, slightly below the six-week high of 2.69% reached on May 14th, as risk-off sentiment dominated markets and investors reassessed the global economic outlook, particularly in the United States. Moody’s recently downgraded the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing growing concerns over rising government debt and widening fiscal deficits. This downgrade pushed US borrowing costs higher, with some spillover effects on global markets. However, German bonds continue to attract inflows amid a broader shift away from US assets. On the monetary policy front, the European Central Bank is widely expected to continue cutting interest rates in June. Still, ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks signaled that rate reductions may soon come to an end, provided inflation aligns with the 2% target as projected.

2025-05-19 15:56:34

Greece

Athens General increased to a 15-year high of 1804.00 Index Points. Over the past 4 weeks, Athens Stock Exchange General gained 9.82%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 20.99%.

2025-05-19 15:56:00

United States

US Dollar Index falls below 100.50 following Moody's downgrade of US credit rating.The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, has retraced its recent gains from the previous session and is trading around 100.40 during the Asian hours on Monday.

2025-05-19 15:53:15

United Kingdom

The UK 10-year gilt yield rose to 4.69%, following a global bond selloff triggered by renewed concerns over US fiscal stability. The move mirrored rising US Treasury yields, especially after Moody’s downgraded the US government’s credit rating, citing growing deficits and political gridlock. Domestically, sentiment was also influenced by a breakthrough in UK-EU relations. Negotiators finalized a deal that includes a defense and security pact and cooperation on major geopolitical issues, including the war in Ukraine. The draft still requires formal approval. Looking ahead, markets are eyeing Thursday’s flash PMIs, with expectations for a softer decline in manufacturing and a smaller contraction in services. Also, April’s inflation is forecast to rise to 3.3%, while core CPI may hit 3.6%. Retail sales are seen up 0.4%, extending a positive streak despite subdued consumer sentiment.

2025-05-19 15:51:20

Italy

The FTSE MIB rose by 0.5% to above 40,850 in early trading on Monday, as traders brushed off negative sentiment from the US following Moody’s downgrade of the country’s credit rating. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned on Sunday that trade partners could face maximum tariffs if they fail to negotiate in “good faith.” Later today, President Donald Trump is expected to speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin in an effort to broker an end to the war in Ukraine. On the corporate front, notable gains were seen from UniCredit (1.6%), Davide Campari-Milano (1%), and Banca Mediolanum (0.9%). On the other hand, luxury brands Moncler and Brunello Cucinelli shed 4.5% and 3.4%, respectively, amid weak economic data from their key market, China.

2025-05-19 15:48:57

France

The CAC 40 fell 0.4% to 7,855 on Monday, after hitting a more than one-month high in the previous session, as investors assessed mounting economic and geopolitical developments. On Friday, Moody’s downgraded the US credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing a deteriorating fiscal outlook and “a lack of effective policy action” to address rising deficits. In Europe, the EU and the UK reached a provisional deal on defense, fisheries, and youth mobility ahead of an upcoming summit, which may open the door for British firms to bid on major EU defense contracts. Elsewhere, US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to speak today regarding the ongoing situation in Ukraine, drawing market attention amid heightened global tensions. On the corporate side, BNP Paribas fell 4% after announcing the initiation of a €1.08 billion share buyback program. Other notable decliners included STMicroelectronics, Hermès, and Air Liquide, with shares down between 1% and 1.7%.

2025-05-19 15:45:17

Jordan

ASE increased to a 26-month high of 2661.00 Index Points. Over the past 4 weeks, Amman Stock Exchange General Index gained 5.03%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 10.92%.

2025-05-19 15:37:10

United Kingdom

The FTSE 100 fell 0.5% on Monday, pulling back after a 1.5% weekly gain, as investors awaited the outcome of a key UK-EU summit in London. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen are expected to unveil a new defense and security pact, along with agreements on reducing trade friction, boosting youth mobility, and cutting red tape. Negotiators reached a deal to enhance UK-EU ties, including cooperation on global challenges like Russia’s war in Ukraine. Market sentiment was also dampened by Moody’s downgrade of the US government’s credit outlook. In corporate news, Diageo rose 2.6% after reporting better-than-expected 5.9% organic sales growth in Q3, though it kept full-year guidance unchanged. Ryanair shares traded 4% higher after earnings beat, though profits remain vulnerable to trade tensions and macro risks. Meanwhile, BT nears a deal to sell its stake in TNT Sports to Warner Bros Discovery.

2025-05-19 15:37:05

Germany

Frankfurt's DAX edged lower toward 23,700 on Monday, easing after last week's gains, as investors weighed economic and geopolitical risks. A downgrade in U.S. sovereign debt and renewed tariff threats from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent contributed to the cautious mood. Meanwhile, the EU and UK struck a provisional deal on defence, fisheries, and youth mobility ahead of their summit, potentially allowing British firms access to EU defence contracts. At the same time, attention shifts to the highly anticipated phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Among single stocks, Volkswagen led the losses, dropping over 4%, followed by SAP, MTU Aero Engines, Fresenius Medical Care and Siemens Healthineers, with declines between 0.8% and 1.5%.

2025-05-19 15:33:29

United States

The US Dollar under pressure again to start the session.The US Dollar opened lower today and after a bit of a consolidation during the Asian session, started to depreciate again in the European session.

2025-05-19 15:32:02

United Kingdom

In London, the FTSE 100 Index is losing 44 points. Losses were led by Scottish Mortgage (-1.95%), JD Sports Fashion (-1.85%) and Intercontinental Hotels (-1.68%). Offsetting the fall, top gainers were Fresnillo (4.10%), Endeavour (1.73%) and Diageo (1.72%).

2025-05-19 15:31:38

Austria

The annual inflation rate in Austria rose to 3.1% in April 2025 from 2.9% in the previous month, in line with preliminary estimates. Prices accelerated mainly for education (5% vs 2.3% in March) and miscellaneous goods and services (5% vs 4.7%), while it remained unchanged for furnishings, household equipment and maintenance (at 5.2%) and transport (at 4.8%). Additionally, costs declined at a softer pace for health (-0.8% vs -0.9%). Meanwhile, inflation moderated for food and non-alcoholic beverages (2.9% vs 3.1%) and alcoholic beverages and tobacco (2.6% vs 3.7%), while it decreased for housing and utilities (-0.7% vs 0.2%) and recreation and culture (-6% vs -5.6%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose by 0.2% in April, the same pace as in the preceding period.

2025-05-19 15:29:41

Euro area

Both the STOXX 50 and the STOXX 600 fell 0.4% on Monday, failing to shrug off negative sentiment from the US after Moody’s downgraded the country’s credit rating and outlook. Traders remained focused on geopolitical developments. The EU and the UK reached a provisional agreement on defence and security cooperation, fisheries, and youth mobility ahead of an EU–UK summit. The deal could open the door for British firms to participate in major EU defence contracts. Also, Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are set to speak today about the situation in Ukraine. Among sectors, food & beverages and travel & leisure led gains, while oil & gas, technology, and banking lagged behind. Corporate news was also in focus. Diageo climbed roughly 2% after the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, despite warning of an annual $150 million impact from tariffs. Meanwhile, BNP Paribas rose 1.4% after announcing the launch of a €1.08 billion share buyback program for 2025.

2025-05-19 15:29:20

Slovenia

SBITOP increased to a 17-year high of 2160.00 Index Points. Over the past 4 weeks, Ljubljana Stock Exchange SBITOP gained 9.36%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 45.72%.

2025-05-19 15:09:46

South Korea

The benchmark KOSPI dropped 0.9% to close at 2,603 on Monday, reversing gains from the previous session, as markets turned cautious amid concerns over the global market and economic impact of the recent US sovereign credit rating downgrade. Moody's lowered the US rating on Friday, citing the country’s ballooning deficit and surging interest costs, moves that could complicate Trump’s tax-cut plans and add to global market volatility. Meanwhile, investors eagerly await progress in the ongoing US–South Korea tariff talks, as a second round of discussions in Washington this week aims for a package deal by early July. Among index heavyweights, chip stocks led the losses, including Samsung Electronics (-1.8%) and SK Hynix (-2.5%). Auto and software stocks also came under pressure. On the upside, battery makers outperformed, with LG Energy Solutions rising 0.5%, while Samsung SDI climbing 3% after slashing the pricing of its new shares by 17% amid a recent tariff-driven sell-off.

2025-05-19 15:02:59

Austria HICP (YoY) up to 3.3% in April from previous 3.1%.Austria HICP (YoY) up to 3.3% in April from previous 3.1%

2025-05-19 15:01:41

Austria HICP (MoM) meets forecasts (0.3%) in April.Austria HICP (MoM) meets forecasts (0.3%) in April

2025-05-19 15:00:08

Spain

ES35 increased to a near 17-year high of 14072.00 Index Points. Over the past 4 weeks, Spain Stock Market Index (ES35) gained 8.08%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 24.01%.

2025-05-19 15:00:02

Italy

IT40 increased to a 17-1/2-year high of 40794.00 Index Points. Over the past 4 weeks, Italy Stock Market Index (IT40) gained 13.42%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 17.08%.

2025-05-19 14:56:57

Japan

The Nikkei fell 255 points or 0.7% to close at 37,499 after a flat performance in the prior session, while the broader Topix edged down almost 0.1%, marking its second consecutive subdued day. A sharp drop in U.S. futures rattled sentiment after Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit outlook raised fears of a potential flight from U.S. assets. Meanwhile, the White House kept up trade pressure, with Treasury Secretary Bessent warning that partners would face maximum tariffs if they failed to negotiate “in good faith.” Investors remained cautious, closely watching U.S.-Japan trade talks as Tokyo aims to finalize a deal in June. Markets also digested Chinese data showing slower industrial output and retail sales in April. Among single stocks, Fast Retailing fell 1.1%, the biggest drag on the Nikkei. Chipmakers Advantest and Tokyo Electron dropped 1.4% and 1.2%, respectively. In contrast, drugmaker Daiichi Sankyo surged 6.6%, topping gainers and providing the index’s biggest lift.

2025-05-19 14:44:31

China

Risk Mood Softens as Moody's US Downgrade and Mixed China Data Dent Confidence.Global markets kicked off the week with a mild risk-off tone, driven by renewed concerns over US creditworthiness and mixed economic data out of China. Moody's downgrade of the U.S. sovereign rating from Aaa to Aa1 late last Friday has cast a shadow over investor sentiment.

2025-05-19 14:36:50

Australia

Shares in Australia dropped 0.6% to close at 8,295 on Monday, erasing gains from the previous eight sessions and retreating from their highest level in nearly three months reached on Friday. The S&P/ASX 200 Index tracked a sharp decline in US futures after Moody's downgraded the US credit rating by one notch to Aa1 on Friday, amid concerns over the government budget deficit. Mixed economic data from China also weighed on sentiment: industrial production grew more than expected, while retail sales rose less than estimated. Domestically, expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at Tuesday’s meeting helped limit further losses. Materials, energy, and real estate stocks primarily dragged the index, with notable declines in Pilbara Minerals (-9.9%), Mineral Resources (-8.8%), Breville Group (-7.2%), New Hope Corp. (-7.6%), and Fortescue Metals (-4.9%).

2025-05-19 14:30:19

Japan

In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 Index decreased 264 points or 0.70 percent on Monday. Losses were driven by Okuma (-3.33%), Taiyo Yuden (-3.13%) and Fanuc (-3.01%). Biggest rises came from Daiichi Sankyo (6.95%), Konica Minolta (6.19%) and Nippon Sheet Glass (4.46%).

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